All factors
🎯

Company is acquired

🀝 M&A
β–² Usually bullish

The company agrees to be bought, or a bid becomes public.

Typical size

15-50% to the offer price

Timeframe

Instant re-rating, then flat until close

Evidence

0 logged events

Why it moves the price

The stock stops trading on fundamentals and starts trading on the deal price, discounted for the risk the deal breaks.

What separates a good call from a naive one

The largest single-day moves in equities, but the upside is capped at the bid β€” buying after the pop offers small returns for real deal-break risk. The gap between market price and offer price tells you what the market thinks of the antitrust odds.

Measured impact

Not enough evidence yet

Every logged event is measured against real closing prices: the move from the close before the event, compared with the S&P 500 over the same window.

Next day

Not measured yet

After 1 week

Not measured yet

After 1 month

Not measured yet

Textbook view:β–² Usually bullishtypically 15-50% to the offer price

No measured verdict yet β€” 0 events logged. Three or more are needed before the data says anything useful.

The evidence (0)

Every row is a real event, measured against actual closing prices.

No events logged yet. Add the first one β€” the price impact gets measured automatically.

Measured from historical closing prices. Past reactions do not guarantee future ones. Not financial advice.