Disaster or facility disruption
🔧 ProductFire, storm, earthquake or accident takes a key facility offline.
Typical size
2-15%
Timeframe
Until capacity is restored
Evidence
0 logged events
Why it moves the price
Removes production capacity immediately. Insurance covers assets but rarely the lost customers or the share taken by competitors during the outage.
What separates a good call from a naive one
Check concentration — a single-site manufacturer is far more exposed than one with several plants. For the industry, one producer's outage tightens supply and can lift competitors.
Measured impact
Every logged event is measured against real closing prices: the move from the close before the event, compared with the S&P 500 over the same window.
Next day
Not measured yet
After 1 week
Not measured yet
After 1 month
Not measured yet
No measured verdict yet — 0 events logged. Three or more are needed before the data says anything useful.
The evidence (0)
Every row is a real event, measured against actual closing prices.
Measured from historical closing prices. Past reactions do not guarantee future ones. Not financial advice.