Dividend cut or suspension
💰 CapitalThe company reduces or eliminates its dividend.
Typical size
8-30%
Timeframe
Immediate and severe; recovery takes years
Evidence
2 logged events
Why it moves the price
Management only cuts when cash is genuinely constrained, so it reveals real financial stress. It also forces mechanical selling from income and dividend-index funds that can no longer hold the stock.
What separates a good call from a naive one
One of the most reliably negative signals available, because the forced-selling channel operates regardless of narrative. A 'strategic reallocation to buybacks' framing rarely fools the market.
Measured impact
Every logged event is measured against real closing prices: the move from the close before the event, compared with the S&P 500 over the same window.
Next day
-12.95%
- Median
- -12.95%
- Moved up
- 50% of 2
- vs S&P 500
- -11.30%
After 1 week
-23.63%
- Median
- -23.63%
- Moved up
- 0% of 2
- vs S&P 500
- -21.85%
After 1 month
-15.53%
- Median
- -15.53%
- Moved up
- 0% of 2
- vs S&P 500
- -21.13%
No measured verdict yet — 2 events logged. Three or more are needed before the data says anything useful.
The evidence (2)
Every row is a real event, measured against actual closing prices.
Measured from historical closing prices. Past reactions do not guarantee future ones. Not financial advice.