All factors
πŸ”—

Convertible note offering

πŸ’° Capital
β–Ό Usually bearish

The company raises money through debt that can convert into equity later.

Typical size

3-10%

Timeframe

Immediate; pressure while hedges are built

Evidence

0 logged events

Why it moves the price

Cheap financing today in exchange for future dilution. Buyers of converts typically hedge by shorting the stock, adding direct selling pressure at pricing.

What separates a good call from a naive one

The hedging flow is the underrated part β€” the stock can fall on mechanics alone regardless of whether the financing was sensible. Check the conversion premium and whether the company bought a call spread to offset dilution.

Measured impact

Not enough evidence yet

Every logged event is measured against real closing prices: the move from the close before the event, compared with the S&P 500 over the same window.

Next day

Not measured yet

After 1 week

Not measured yet

After 1 month

Not measured yet

Textbook view:β–Ό Usually bearishtypically 3-10%

No measured verdict yet β€” 0 events logged. Three or more are needed before the data says anything useful.

The evidence (0)

Every row is a real event, measured against actual closing prices.

No events logged yet. Add the first one β€” the price impact gets measured automatically.

Measured from historical closing prices. Past reactions do not guarantee future ones. Not financial advice.