All factors
πŸ—οΈ

Government contract award

βš–οΈ Legal
β–² Usually bullish

The company wins (or loses) a large public-sector contract.

Typical size

2-15%

Timeframe

Immediate; revenue recognised over years

Evidence

0 logged events

Why it moves the price

Adds a large, credit-worthy, multi-year revenue stream with high visibility β€” the kind of backlog investors capitalise generously.

What separates a good call from a naive one

Compare the award value to annual revenue, and check the duration β€” a $1B contract over ten years is a tenth as exciting as it sounds. Protests by losing bidders can delay everything.

Measured impact

Not enough evidence yet

Every logged event is measured against real closing prices: the move from the close before the event, compared with the S&P 500 over the same window.

Next day

Not measured yet

After 1 week

Not measured yet

After 1 month

Not measured yet

Textbook view:β–² Usually bullishtypically 2-15%

No measured verdict yet β€” 0 events logged. Three or more are needed before the data says anything useful.

The evidence (0)

Every row is a real event, measured against actual closing prices.

No events logged yet. Add the first one β€” the price impact gets measured automatically.

Measured from historical closing prices. Past reactions do not guarantee future ones. Not financial advice.