Free cash flow inflection
π EarningsThe company turns free-cash-flow positive, or slips back into cash burn.
Typical size
4-20%
Timeframe
Immediate, durable if sustained
Evidence
0 logged events
Why it moves the price
Cash generation decides whether a company must return to the market for financing. Crossing into self-funding removes dilution and solvency risk from the valuation.
What separates a good call from a naive one
The most under-appreciated inflection for unprofitable companies β the re-rating on the first genuinely cash-generative quarter often exceeds what the earnings improvement alone justifies. Check it is real, not working-capital timing or stretched payables.
Measured impact
Every logged event is measured against real closing prices: the move from the close before the event, compared with the S&P 500 over the same window.
Next day
Not measured yet
After 1 week
Not measured yet
After 1 month
Not measured yet
No measured verdict yet β 0 events logged. Three or more are needed before the data says anything useful.
The evidence (0)
Every row is a real event, measured against actual closing prices.
Measured from historical closing prices. Past reactions do not guarantee future ones. Not financial advice.