All factors
πŸ“

Margin expansion or compression

πŸ“Š Earnings
β—† Depends on context

Gross or operating margin moves materially versus prior quarters.

Typical size

3-12%

Timeframe

Immediate, with lasting effect on the multiple

Evidence

0 logged events

Why it moves the price

Margins determine how much revenue growth converts into profit. A durable margin change re-rates the entire earnings power of the business.

What separates a good call from a naive one

Investors pay up for margin expansion driven by mix or pricing power, and ignore expansion driven by one-off cost cuts. Compression from deliberate growth investment is treated far more kindly than compression from competition.

Measured impact

Not enough evidence yet

Every logged event is measured against real closing prices: the move from the close before the event, compared with the S&P 500 over the same window.

Next day

Not measured yet

After 1 week

Not measured yet

After 1 month

Not measured yet

Textbook view:β—† Depends on contexttypically 3-12%

No measured verdict yet β€” 0 events logged. Three or more are needed before the data says anything useful.

The evidence (0)

Every row is a real event, measured against actual closing prices.

No events logged yet. Add the first one β€” the price impact gets measured automatically.

Measured from historical closing prices. Past reactions do not guarantee future ones. Not financial advice.