Profit warning between quarters
📊 EarningsManagement pre-announces that results will fall short, outside the normal reporting calendar.
Typical size
8-25%
Timeframe
Immediate and severe
Evidence
0 logged events
Why it moves the price
An unscheduled warning means the shortfall was too large to hold until the scheduled report — signalling both a worse number and less management visibility.
What separates a good call from a naive one
Hits harder than the same miss delivered on schedule, because the timing itself signals severity. Investors reprice the credibility of the whole forecasting process, not just this quarter.
Measured impact
Every logged event is measured against real closing prices: the move from the close before the event, compared with the S&P 500 over the same window.
Next day
Not measured yet
After 1 week
Not measured yet
After 1 month
Not measured yet
No measured verdict yet — 0 events logged. Three or more are needed before the data says anything useful.
The evidence (0)
Every row is a real event, measured against actual closing prices.
Measured from historical closing prices. Past reactions do not guarantee future ones. Not financial advice.